Operational effectiveness evaluation and sensitivity analysis of multi stage mission equipment system

DOI:	10.11809/bqzbgcxb2024.08.012
Keywords:	combat ring; combat effectiveness; phase task; sensitivity
Abstract:	Under the background of information based war, battlefield forms are changing rapidly, and battlefield equipment system is becoming more and more complex. It is no longer enough to evaluate the combat effectiveness of equipment system or single equipment. Therefore, based on the operational ring theory, this paper puts forward a multi stage operational effectiveness evaluation model of equipment system and a sensitivity analysis method of evaluation index, which is convenient to control the development of battlefield situation. Firstly, based on the phase task, the relationship between each level index and the superior ability index is analyzed, and the index aggregation model of the combat effectiveness of the equipment system is determined. Secondly, the change of the evaluation result of the combat effectiveness of the equipment system relative to the change of the evaluation index was investigated by changing the corresponding proportion of the disturbance to the evaluation index, and the sensitivity degree of each evaluation index to the combat effectiveness of the equipment system was determined and ranked. Finally, taking a confrontation exercise as an example, the method proposed in this paper is applied to analyze the sensitivity of each evaluation index relative to the combat effectiveness of the equipment system, and the feasibility and effectiveness of the method proposed in this paper are verified by comparing the sensitivity average with that of other experts, so as to provide auxiliary guidance for commanders to control the battlefield situation.
Issue:	Vol. 45 No. 8 (2024)
Published:	2024-09-02
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